Research on Warning for Urban Management Issues Based on Hotline Data
Jia Chen · Microcomputer Information · 2011
Violation and illegality of urban management issues in urban management have been serious concern for urban managers for years. How to build an effective prediction and early warning system for urban management issues has been a significant way of changing urban management pattern and improving the efficiency of urban management. Focusing on solving the urban management issues, this paper comes up with a prediction and early warning model based on hotline data following the ideas of combining time series with back-propagation artificial neural networks and also using methods of exponential smoothing, analysis of composition, comprehensive assessment of early warning system and neural network early warning and so on. Also this paper forecasts the occurring situation for six types of common issues in urban management. Practical instances show that this model has good prediction and early warning effect. It provides a new way towards the study of early warning system for urban management issues and brings a referential idea for solving this kind of issues.