The Research of the Method to Model Validation on Complicated Simulation System

Liu Xing-tang · Acta Simulata Systematica Sinica · 2003

The research on the theory and methods of assessing confidence for complicated simulation systems is a difficult problem in simulation systems. According to the characteristics of complicated simulation system, an efficient approach to model validation for complicated simulation systems by Bayes theory has been put forward in this paper. The test rules are derived and algorithm is given. Some actual examples have proved that this method is accurate and efficient. The method of complicated hypothesis test with Bayes used in this paper is very valuable to simulation systems analysis under the circumstances of small, even extra-small samples.

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