Exploration and research for forecasting method of reconstructed first before modeling based on emergercy-alarm events
LI Rui-qing · Jisuanji yingyong yanjiu · 2012
This research proved that 110-alarm events have predictability;the applicability of forecast models that could be applied to government emergency management departments and applied for forecasting of public security organ in actual command and supports assistant-decision.This innovative method used high-order AR to synthesize time series of 110-alarm forecasting result to the original signal forecasting result and to be proved through experiments.This innovative modeling and forecasting process is called forecasting method of reconstructed first before modeling.