An Evidence Reasoning Model with Its Application to Expert Opinions Combination
Huai Li · Systems Engineering - Theory & Practice · 2001
The combination of expert opinions in the form of probability distributions is a foundamental problem in many decision processes, but difficult to tackle within the framework of Bayesian probability theory. This paper presents a method for the problem based on dempster\|shafer theory of evidence. Firstly a specific evidence reasoning model and an algorithm for it are presented, and then an approach for modeling and solving the expert opinions combination using above model is decribed.