Research on the Quantity Analysis of Social Crime

Ping He · Journal of Liaoning Police Academy · 2004

Based on the research mechanism of quantitative criminology, this article probes into the method of setting up math model in crime system analysis, advances that attention should be paid to experience model and mechanism model while analyzing the quantity of crime system. It also sets up the macroscopic crime administration model with utility theory and analyzes the quantitative convey method of crime by applying Bayes theory. This research shows that to study the nature and feature of social crime with quantitative method, the key problem lies in the reliability of criminal statistical pattern and the selection of parameter.

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