Research on Applying Simulation Credibility into Weapon system Appraisal
Zha Ya-bing · Acta Simulata Systematica Sinica · 2005
During the process of weapon system appraisal integrated simulation test into missiles’ aviation test, simulation information plays a more and more prominent role and simulation credibility is emphasized once and again. Bayesian method is mended by appending simulation into Bayesian formula in order to make the outcome of weapon system appraisal more believable. At first, credible Bayesian model is defined, its rationality is analyzed and it is applied into multistage weapon system appraisal. Then, after analyzing the meanings of simulation credibility, a direct definition of simulation credibility is given. Finally, the credibility of Bayesian method is proved through a simulation instance.