Algorithm to Estimate the Conflict Probability on the Airway

Haifeng Zheng · Flight Dynamics · 2009

Considering the general case of the trajectory position alteration.This paper considers various probable error of course prediction and corrects the error convariance matrix of course prediction after altering the trajectory position.And then the above method is used for three dimensional improved flight conflict probability algorithm.According to the uncertainty of actual trajectory position base on the above method,the conflict probability is estimated on the whole airway in statistics.At last,the paper presents a Monte-Carlo validation of the algorithms.

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