The principle of a connection number in probability and its application in probabilistic reasoning
Zhao Ke-qin · Caai Transactions on Intelligent Systems · 2012
For more objective probabilistic reasoning,a new probability theory was created in this paper.Through exploring the nature of randomness of some simple randomized trials,it can be known that the randomness of events has two interlinked attributes.The two random events A and always exist in a pair,and these random events can be divided into main events and adjoining events.Their respective probabilities are main probability(large number probability) and adjoining probability(sudden probability).A connection number was used to describe them.The probability of the connection number was called connection probability(complex probability).The i in the connection probability is a key parameter for the transformation of main events and adjoining events in the random experiment.The meaning of negative probability was explained,the application of connection probability in probabilistic reasoning was also illustrated in this paper.