Effectiveness evaluation method based on statistical analysis of operations

Jun-hui CHE · Journal of Computer Applications · 2012

The effect data of actions show a significant randomness because of lots of uncertain elements in the course of action.In order to explore the rules of warfare hidden behind the data,the effectiveness evaluation was studied based on statistical analysis method.The basic concept of action and its effectiveness were analyzed.With the simulation data produced by enhanced irreducible semi-autonomous adaptive combat neural simulation toolkit(EINSTein),a single,a group and multi group experimental methods were used to study the statistical characteristics of offensive actions and find out that to a party who has a combat advantage,compared with increased number of personnel,the increased radius of firepower can achieve better operational results.On this basis,an evaluation method of action effectiveness was proposed and validated with simulation data.Therefore,a feasible resolution is provided to evaluate the action effectiveness based on actual combat data.

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