Study on the Periodicity Analyses and Forecast of Mining System Safety Accidents
Huang Jun · Industrial Safety and Environmental Protection · 2010
The seasonal index forecast theory is applied to set up accident forecast model of mining system and forecast the death toll and also the degree of fitting and the trend of changes are relatively analyzed.The results show that the seasonal index prediction model which can not only resolve the problem about the irregular length of the period in the series of incident indicator,but also forecast the trend well.It is of great significance to make a decision and prevent safty accidents in the management of mining.