Application of the time series decomposable model for the annual runoff prediction in Wulasitai River

Lei Xiao-yun · Journal of Water Resources and Water Engineering · 2006

Based on the time series decomposable method,a prediction model of annual runoff has established on Wulasitai River,which contains the trend item,period item and the random series.From the forecasting results obtained,it can be concluded that the annual runoff has indistinctive decreasing trend and obvious periodical change and stochastic change.The model has good adaptability and precision.The results show that the time series decomposable model is satisfactory.

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