METHODS OF TIME SERIES DYNAMIC PREDICTION OF ROAD EMBANKMENT SETTLEMENT

Leng Wu-ming · Tiedao gongcheng xuebao · 2004

The roadbed settlement which is influenced by many complicated factors is a dynamic and dependent process.During the filling construction of the roadbed the total settlement value could be predicted by using time series equal interval prediction model of recent information. With the addition of new deformation datum the model parameters are continuously modified. The practical settlement prediction of the abutment embankment has showed that the error between measure and one-step prediction value is mostly below 5mm of 2.3mm average error absolute value. The more prediction step is the more error is.

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