Research on risk analysis based on fuzzy AHP method

Yang Hai-cheng · Computer Integrated Manufacturing Systems · 2004

To improve the existing risk analysis method, a new risk analysis method was proposed to evaluate risk based on the triangular fuzzy number and Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP). This method introduced the triangular fuzzy number to represent experts' judgment information of risk factors and used the AHP to rank these risk factors. So, the detailed ranking of project's risk factors by risk probability, risk loss and both of them was obtained. Finally, the risk analysis of aviation project was discussed and an aviation project was introduced as an example to demonstrate the process and validity of the method. The general steps of the method applied to the example were detailed.

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