Demand Forecasting and Analyzing of Civil Aviation Passenger Transport Markets based on GMDH
Li Luo · Ruan kexue · 2006
In this paper,the authors explore the relation of the development of society economy and demand of civil aviation passenger transport,and choose the market of civil aviation passenger transport in Chengdu as the research object.They respectively set two models to forecast the demand of Chengdu's civil aviation passenger transport by multiple linear regression and advanced data mining technology based on the method of GMDH(Group Method of Data Handling),at the same time they also use combination forecast of the two methods.The results prove that these GMDH models have powerful forecasting ability and the superiority in factor analysis.