Living Study on Applying Poly-method of Forecast to Real Estate Early Warning System

Guo Feng · Journal of Guizhou University · 2007

The veracity and reliability of alarm index forecast is the key whether the early warning system succeed or not.In this paper,starting with principle and method of forecast,taking into account of the characteristics having a good deal of index,data,influencing factors and difficult to forecast accurately of real estate early system,putting forward to apply poly-method of forecast,such as method of linearity multi-regression,trend extrapolation and B-J,to the alarm index.By living study,it has very good effects of veracity,reliability and feasibility,and this method can be used to other complicated economic forecast.

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