Application of bilinear time series model based on genetic algorithms in dam security monitoring forecast
Wang Lian · Journal of Hefei University of Technology · 2006
The auto correlation coefficients figure is suggested to ascertain auto regressive items of bilinear time series model(BM).A scheme based on genetic algorithms is adopted to deduce the BM.Calculation of the example shows that the precision of the model is good and its forecast capability is stable because the BM uses the feedback information of prediction residual errors in the course of fitting and forecasting.The forecast precision of the BM is better in comparison with the threshold autoregressive(TAR) model.