Traffic Distribution Forecasting System Design Based on Fratar Model

Yi Ding · Journal of Shandong Jiaotong University · 2011

As the key step of four-stage method,traffic distribution forecasting is set up on the basis of Fratar model.With 2009 OD table in Nanping used as the benchmark table,2010 forecasting table was attained by calculating.The relative error rate was 16.83% compared to 2010 OD table,which verified the feasibility of the system.With reference to 2010 OD table in Nanping,this city′s 2015 OD table has been forecasted.Practice shows that by adopting this computer system,target year′s traffic distribution can be forecasted without investigating traffic impedance.It is easy to operate as the workload is comparatively smaller.

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