A Modular Regression Model of Phase Space for Long-term Prediction
Lin Zhen-shan · Acta Scicentiarum Naturalum Universitis Pekinesis · 1992
Considering the error of long-term forecast, which is caused by the external ran-dom factors and the internal randomness of a deterministic system, the theory about chaos is combined with statistics theory in this paper, then a modular regression model of d-dimensions phase space is set up. After debugging the model,the forecast accuracy will reach more than 66 per cent.