Identification and Modification of the Mistake Area in the Comprehensive Imitated Early-warning Model of Real Estate
Lieyun Ding · Shuxue de shijian yu renshi · 2006
At present,the mistake area in the comprehensive imitated early-warning model make the real estate market early warning failure or no high accuracy in the use of this model.On the purpose of resolving the mistake area,this paper firstly identify the mistake area of building long-term trend model and the deviation about the early-warning interval on the basic of year data from 1988 to 2001of real estate of Wuhan City,secondly build up the simple model to revise the existed problem from the systemic angle. The empinical research show that the revised model explicitly enhames the validity and accurary of the real estate early warning.