Wind Speed Prediction Based on AR,ARIMA Model
Wei Ma · East China Electric Power · 2010
Basic concepts about four main linear models of time-series method are described.Known 24-hour date of time series are used to predict the next hours.Model,order determining and prediction are carried out base on Matlab,which built the wind speed model by AR(p),ARIMA(p) and determined order by AIC criterion.The AR(3) and ARIMA(6,1,5) model is accurate in predicting the wind speed of next hour relatively,which shows that the time series method is valid in predicting wind speed.