The Application of Logistic Model and Rayleigh Distribution in Mobile Users Prediction
Deng Ming-qing · Journal of Hangzhou Dianzi University · 2006
At present,the methods in mobile users prediction are popularization method,curve matching method and Rayleigh distribution method in the process of making rolling plan and feasibility report,but they all have defects.In the process of predicting the mobile users by the Logistic model that its limit L is confirmed by Rayleigh distribution,not only the macro-economics but also the trend of communication development is taken into account.It is proved that the synthesis method of Logistic model and the Rayleigh distribution seem more scientific and practical in prediction of mobile subscription by the application of the prediction of mobile subscription in China and in Zhejiang province.