Concerning Investigation Decision Making under Risk
XU Qi-ming · Journal of Fujian Police College · 2012
Decision making under risk is the closest to real investigation decision model from the view of the morphological interpretation and the optimization method of decision making.The investigation decision under risk is applied to expected value criterion as a value standard,to scientifically analyze and orientate investigative experience,profit and utility.An investigation program is optimized by the methods of decision tree analysis,Bayesian analysis,sensitivity analysis and utility analysis.The importance of research on investigation decision making under risk lies in introducing the science of decision making to the science of investigation,providing a scientific methodology foundation for investigation.