Mission Reliability Modeling of Missile Defense System Based on Phase Mission Bayesian Networks

Xiaoyue Wu · 2012

In order to evaluate mission reliability of missile defense system(MDS),the definition of mission reliability for MDS is given.The phase-Bayesian networks(phase-BN) reliability model is built.Then,the phase-BN composes to phased mission system Bayesian networks(PMS-BN) and calculation methods are discussed.The solution accuracy and calculation complexity are analyzed by comparing the solution with Markov model and Fault Tree.

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