Weighted time series prediction model and its application in mining safety system
Qin Wang · Industrial Minerals and Processing · 2011
Based on safety system's attribution,the research has discussed the measures of estimating weighted parameters on the typical model of exponential time series prediction,and built a exponential weighted time series predicting model.Adjusting the parameters of revised exponential weighted function can reflect the time effect exactly in time series of the researched system.Comparing with the traditional prediction model,the short-term residual error of the weighted predicting model is lower.It proves that the weighted prediction mode tally with the actual situation well.And the weighted time series prediction model has the good system adaptability,may promote applications in other time series prediction model.