A kind forecasting model with cyclic fluctuation and its application
Tao Wu · Journal of Anhui University · 2002
Economic forecasting models that established using method of ordinary regression analysis often have high error rate,for economic variables change petiodically,but regression model just reflect trend fluctuation.Based on cyclic graph,this paper mensurate the connotaaive cycles of variable and give a kind of forecasting model with cyclic fluctuation,an instance indicates that this kind model improve the accuracy of economic forecasting.