The application of bayesian method in evaluating missile hitting precision
Song Tian · Flight Dynamics · 2000
Aiming at the evaluating of missile system experiment,for the hitting precision evaluation,the Bayesian method is discussed .Under the hypothesis tiat the distribution of hitting deviation obey normal contra gamma distribution,a set of evaluation scheme is given. This scheme is based on the Bayesian law, which use the practical flight condition and all kinds of information before experiment, and take use of trajectory simulation or emulation to obtain the parameter of prior distribution of evaluation. This scheme take the reliability and the lowest reliable boundary that is demanded by user as the aim of testing precision, meanwhile give a kind of way of applying Bootstrap method to obtaining the parameter of prior distribution. It offers a complete evaluating procedure and statement with which make the real work have a relatively complete system. This method especially adapts to small size sample.