Human Risk Assessment of the Airport Runway Incursion Based on the Grey Clustering
Tang Xin-xi · Dianzi Ke-Ji Daxue xuebao. She-ke ban · 2015
With the sustainable growing of flight flow and runway frequency, runway incursions have become more frequent, and human risk is the main cause. The thresholds of the runway incursion human risk assessment indexes are calculated with the fluctuations method and experts consulted method. The triangle whiten function of airport runway incursion's human risk assessment indexes based on grey cluster theory is constructed. Expert assessment scoring results and the evaluation coefficients of four different levels, normal warning, mild warning, moderate warning and severe warning are analyzed. Comprehensive clustering coefficient of each index is obtained. And the risk level is determined according to the principle of membership. The result is conducive for airports to avoid risk sources of employees' operational errors and misjudgment, prevent and remit the human risk of airport runway incursion, and improve airport security capabilities.