Application of gray Markov model in aviation incident prediction
Haifeng Ren · Journal of Xi'an University of Science and Technology · 2007
Aviation incident is the core content of aviation safety management.Forecasting aviation incident is important to prevent accidents.In consideration of various factors and random fluctuation of aviation incident,the paper constructs the Gray Markov prediction model of aviation incident based on the advantages of the gray and Markov forecasting.We predict aviation incident of China by the model.The result shows that it is practicable to construct the model of aviation incident and we can take the model as an effective tool to predict Chinese aviation incident.