Application of the Complex Uncertainty Integrated Prediction Model Based on Knowledge Discovery

SU Zhan-dong, You Fu-cheng · Journal of Institute of Command and Technology · 2005

The paper focuses on the properties of complex uncertainty system, and associates knowledge discovery theory and methods with prediction theory and methods. On the basis of the research of knowledge discover theory and data mining methods applicable to prediction, the paper utilizes the traditional prediction theory based on statistics, probability and neural networks to found an integrated prediction model. Based on knowledge discovery, the predict model of multi-objects and multi-factors are conceived. Its practicability and validity are proved in the prediction of output, reserves, and required quantity of oil and natural gas.

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