Prediction Model of Network Public Opinion of Emergency

LI Jian-han · China Public Security · 2014

In order to predict evolution direction of network public opinion of emergency,on basis of analyzes of evolution path of network public opinion of emergencies,according to theory of Dynamic Bayesian Network,the article constructs prediction model of network public opinion of emergency and uses joint probability formula to predict node variables. With example of the fire in Laide Jixian Tianjin,the research illustrated specific process of prediction model. Its prediction is corresponded with actual circumstances,and it proves feasibility and practicability of this method.

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