Cause chain of the El Nino events
Yuanjun Ma · Progress in geophysics · 2004
The concept of cause chain of the El Nino events was put forward. It was pointed out that the physical factor of the influence on the El Nino events was linked ring upon ring. They made up one cause chain that connected and had the relation of the cause and effects mutually. The theory of various causes along the cause chain didn't justify itself and could not be used to forecast the El Nino events completely because of the feedback and decrease-increase effect between the physical factors along the cause chain. Only the feedback and decrease-increase effect and the contributive ratio of the physical factors had deeply been analyzed, could the accurate ratio of forecast of the El Nino events be improved. A new thread of thought is provided for solving the cause problem of the El Nino event.