Thoughts on Threat Assessment in Cyberspace
Herbert Lin · The Knowledge Bank (The Ohio State University) · 2012
Hard information about the cyber-threat posed by adversaries is scarce and difficult to obtain.Thus, threat assessment in cyberspace is an inherently more uncertain endeavor than for more traditional domains of potential conflict.Under circumstances of information scarcity and faced with potential threats, there are many influences on analysts to make worst-case assessments.Greater information scarcity about possible threats (as is generally true for threats in cyberspace) would increase the likelihood that worst-case assessments would be forthcoming and also increase the uncertainty inherent in those assessments.