The Best Posterior Probability Model Could Be Different from the Actual Causal Model
Jan Walters Kruger · SSRN Electronic Journal · 2011
An example is shown that the best posterior probability model, as found by the Cooper and Herskovits equation, is not always the causal model. This involves moving from a causal model, to a frequency distribution, to a correlation matrix and back to a model. The elimination heuristic, utilising independence relations, is introduced as a first step towards getting the actual causal model. At this stage this method is not developed enough to find the causal model.