Decision Networks for Modeling and Analysis of Attack/Defense Scenarios in Critical Infrastructures

Daniele Codetta‐Raiteri, Luigi Portinale, Roberta Terruggia · The Florida AI Research Society · 2014

We propose to exploit Decision Networks (DN) for the analysis of attack/defense scenarios. We show that DN extend both the modeling and the analysis capabilities of formalisms based on Attack Trees, which are the main reference in such a context. Uncertainty can be addressed at every system level ad a decision-theoretic analysis of the risk and of the selection of the best countermeasures can be implemented, by exploiting standard inference algorithms on DN.

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