A Reliability Analysis to Runway Incursion based on Improved CREAM
Yang Gao, Ziqi Bian · Advances in engineering research/Advances in Engineering Research · 2014
Human factor is one of the most important reasons causing runway incursion event happened.On the basis of statistics analyzing the existing research about runway incursion human factor causes, this paper builds a key human factor influencing runway incursion and proposes a process of controllers and pilots interaction on influencing runway incursion with the characteristic of dynamic, interaction and closed-loop.Then an improved CREAM model method is applied to predict the reliability of this process.The final conclusion shows the importance of controllers and pilots interaction that in a real situation influencing runway incursion, not only the consideration on actual occurred runway incursion event is needed, the interaction between controllers and pilots also needs to be concerned.This paper brings a new idea and way for further risk assessment of runway incursion based on human factors.Besides, considering the reliability of controllers and pilots interaction, how to improve its existing interaction mode will be the next key work.