ANALYSIS OF INFLUENCE SHARING IN JUDGMENTAL FORECASTING: REGRESSION MODELS AND PERCEPTUAL MEASURE
Friedhelm Bliemel, Phillipe Cattin · Decision Sciences · 1976
ABSTRACT The committee or group approach is often used where considerable uncertainties have to be handled by skillful judgment. In this paper the authors investigate the subject of influence sharing in judgmental forecasting of commodity prices. They propose a conceptual framework for patterns of influence sharing in groups and for influence roles of individuals. A statistical analysis of the influence of group members on the group forecast leads to inferences about influence pattern and roles in a group.