Uncertain premises and Jeffrey's rule
David E. Over, Constantinos Hadjichristidis · Behavioral and Brain Sciences · 2009
Abstract Oaksford & Chater (O&C) begin in the halfway Bayesian house of assuming that minor premises in conditional inferences are certain. We demonstrate that this assumption is a serious limitation. They additionally suggest that appealing to Jeffrey's rule could make their approach more general. We present evidence that this rule is not limited enough to account for actual probability judgements.