Data modeling for detection of epidemic outbreak
Holger M. Jaenisch, James W. Handley, Kristina L. Jaenisch, Michael S. Conn, Jeffrey P. Faucheux · Proceedings of SPIE, the International Society for Optical Engineering/Proceedings of SPIE · 2005
Data Modeling is successfully applied to outbreak detection using epidemicological time series data. With proper selection of features, same day detection was demonstrated. Predictive Data Models are derived from the features in the form of integro-differential equations or their solution. These models are used as real-time change detectors. Data Modeling enables change detection using only nominal (no-outbreak) examples for training. Modeling naturally occurring dynamics due to assignable causes such as flu season enables distinction to be made of chemical and biological (chem-bio) causes.