Making the Right Decisions for Disaster Prevention

Juan Carlos Augusto, Hui Wang, Jun Liu · 2007

We present a framework for decision-making in relation to disaster management.The use of causality reasoning based on the temporal evolution of a scenario provides a natural way to chain meaningful events and possible states of the system.There is usually several ways to analyse a problem and several possible strategies to follow as a solution and it is also often the case that information originating in different sources can be inconsistent.Therefore we allow the specification of possible conflicting situations as they are a typical element in disaster management.A decision procedure to decide on those conflicting situations is explained which not only provides a framework for the assistance of one decision-maker but also how to handle opinions from a hierarchy of decision-makers.

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