ARIMA and neural network prediction of foreign exchange reserves

Chunhua Shi, Huimin Wang, Fancheng Yin, RU Zheng-liang · 2011

This paper is about ARIMA and neural network prediction of the foreign exchange reserves of China. Both of unit-root nonstationarity and nonlinearity are tested. In the conclusion, we show that the predictive accuracy of neural networks outperforms ARIMA in terms of the MSE and MADE criteria.

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