Fuzzy set methods for uncertainty management in intelligence analysis
Ronald R. Yager · International Journal of Intelligent Systems · 2006
Considerable concern has arisen regarding the quality of intelligence analysis. This has been, in large part, motivated by the task of determining whether Iraq had weapons of mass destruction. One problem that made this analysis difficult was the uncertainty in much of the information available to the intelligence analysts. In this work, we introduce some tools that can be of use to intelligence analysts for representing and processing uncertain information. We make considerable use of technologies based on fuzzy sets and related disciplines such as approximate reasoning. © 2006 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Int J Int Syst 21: 523–544, 2006.