The effect of parameter uncertainties on the predictions of a library network model

William B. Rouse, Sandra H. Rouse · Journal of the American Society for Information Science · 1978

Abstract A library network model is reviewed and a new derivation of the model is presented that requires fewer assumptions and allows more robust representations of library networks. It is then shown how uncertainty in model parameters, due to estimation on the basis of finite sample sizes, propagates through the model and thereby introduces uncertainty in the model's predictions. Using these results, it is shown how one can determine the appropriate amount of data to collect and/or the appropriate level of aggregation of data.

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