Modeling network traffic with the extreme value theory
Jiakun Liu, Yantai Shu, Oliver W. W. Yang, Deyun Gao · Proceedings of SPIE, the International Society for Optical Engineering/Proceedings of SPIE · 2003
This paper introduced the Extreme Value Theory (EVT) for analysis of network traffic. The role of EVT is to allow the development of procedures that are scientifically and statistically rational to estimate the extreme behavior of random processes. In this paper, we propose an EVT_based procedure to fit a model to the traffic trace. We have performed some simulation experiments on real-traffic traces such as video data to study the feasibility of our proposed method. Our experiments showed that the EVT method can be applied to statistical analysis of real traffic. Furthermore, since only the data greater than the threshold are processed, the computation overhead is reduced greatly. It indicates that EVT method could be applied to real time network control.