SYNTHETIC SERIES PRODUCED BY MEANS OF PROBABILITY ANALYSIS AS APPLIED TO THE RIVER RHINE
L.A. Siegerstetter · International Association of Scientific Hydrology Bulletin · 1971
SUMMARY Using the Rhine as an example, a method is shown which should render possible long-termp redictions of river-flows to a certain extend on the basis of sufficiently long series of recordings. A necessary condition is to consider hydrological processes under a non-deterministic model, which justifies the application of statistic techniques, f.e. the fitting of suitable probability distribution functions. Since one specific prediction is not possible, a first indication is given on how to draw conclusions from a greater number of forecasts.