Note on a scholium of Bayes
F. H. Murray · Bulletin of the American Mathematical Society · 1930
In his fundamental paper on a posteriori probability,* Bayes considered a certain event M having an unknown probability p of its occurring in a single trial. In deriving his a posteriori formula he assumed that all values of p are equally likely, and he recommended this assumption for similar problems in which nothing is known concerning p. In the corollary to proposition 8 he derives the value r/n 1