Likelihood ratio tests in curved exponential families with nuisance parameters present only under the alternative
Christian Ritz, Ib Michael Skovgaard · Biometrika · 2005
For submodels of an exponential family, we consider likelihood ratio tests for hypotheses that render some parameters nonidentifiable. First, we establish the asymptotic equivalence between the likelihood ratio test and the score test. Secondly, the score-test representation is used to derive the asymptotic distribution of the likelihood ratio test. These results are derived for general submodels of an exponential family without assuming compactness of the parameter space. We then exemplify the results on a class of multivariate normal models, where null hypotheses concerning the covariance structure lead to loss of identifiability of a parameter. Our motivating problem throughout the paper is to test a random intercepts model against an alternative covariance structure allowing for serial correlation.