Elicitation Techniques for Bayesian Network Models
Eric J. Kemp-Benedict · 2008
This report presents two methods for generating conditional probability tables (CPTs) for Bayesian network models. The methods are based on the notion of departures from a normal state of affairs. The elicitation methods ask experts either for their assessment of the influence of parent nodes on a child node, or for their expectations for the influence of parent nodes on the departure of the child node from a normal state. Elicitation Techniques for Bayesian Network Models WP-US-0804 Copyright © 2008 by the Stockholm Environment Institute This publication may be reproduced in whole or in part and in any form for educational or non-profit purposes, without special permission from the copyright holder(s) provided acknowledgement of the source is made. No use of this publication may be made for resale or other commercial purpose, without the written permission of the copyright holder(s). For more information about this document, contact Eric Kemp-Benedict at [email protected]. Stockholm Environment Institute US 11 Curtis Avenue Somerville, MA 02144-1224, USA www.sei-us.org and www.sei.se