Glueck Method of Parole Prediction Applied to 1,861 Cases of Burglars
Michael Hakeem · Journal of Criminal Law and Criminology (1931-1951) · 1945
This is a report on the application of the Glueck method of parole prediction to 1861 cases of white adult burglars. Research in parole prediction, probation prediction, and prediction of criminality has made considerable progress since Burgess' effected Hart's2 suggestion of constructing a prognostic device which would foretell a subject's chances for making a successful parole adjustment. A general discussion of the prediction of criminality and of the technical aspects of the statistical procedures utilized cannot be presented here.3 Lack of space prohibits also a comparative appraisal of the Glueck, Burgess, Monachesi, Vold, and other techniques of prediction.' In general, parole prediction can prove to be a realistic, practical, and fruitful approach to the problem of the determination of eligibility for parole and to related problems. The Gluecks have encouraged repetition of their procedure of constructing prediction tables in the following statement: It will be valuable to test the extent of reliability of such tables by constructing them on the basis of another sample of